The price of gold or pro high pressure to adjust the time hunters not mature 唐山师范学院专接本

The price of gold or pro high pressure to adjust the time hunters not mature 唐山师范学院专接本

The price of gold or pro high pressure to adjust the time hunters not mature correspondent Zhu Lina Hongkong reported a feeling of exaltation upon fulfillment has long been silent gold finally. In 2016, the global market in the stock market around the collective diving, bond yields fell to a record low, investors fled to havens of gold, a thriving, spot gold has recorded a dramatic increase of nearly 15%, and the world’s largest publicly traded Gold Fund SPDR Gold Shares ETF also soared nearly 17%. By the end of last year, the international gold futures prices fell for sixth consecutive quarters, the longest time since 1984. Spot gold prices fell to an ounce of $1050 in December last year, but they have risen sharply recently. In February 11th, spot gold rose to a new high of $1263.48 a troy ounce, and the biggest one-day gain since the financial crisis in 2008. In the short term of the lunar new year, gold rose by nearly $90. The reasons for the soaring gold price include the weakening of the US dollar, the surge in demand for hedge asset demand and the expectation of a continued decline in interest rates. Meanwhile, the latest World Gold Council report shows that consumers and central banks in emerging markets are still actively buying gold in the fourth quarter of last year." Julian Economics, director of commodities research at Capital Jessop in London, told the Business Herald in twenty-first Century. He said that although gold has broken through our previous forecast of 1250 dollars in the middle and high levels, but we do not plan to raise the price of gold forecast. In the short term, as the global economic growth prospects and the Fed’s interest rate hike subsided, the stock market rebounded, gold prices are still facing some adjustment pressure. The timing of entering the market has not yet arrived. For many investors, the volatility of the current financial market is increasing sharply. It is urgent to configure such hedging assets as gold. The question before them is whether gold has been completely out of the trough, suitable for the market hunters? Hongkong gold and silver trade fair forever honorary president Zhang Dexi said that although the recent sharp increase in gold prices, but gold has not yet entered the rising cycle, investors need to wait patiently for the opportunity to enter the market. As of press time on February 15th, the international spot gold price fell 2.3% or 28.48 U.S. dollars to 1209.49 U.S. dollars ounce, has been the second consecutive decline. "The price of gold at $1100 – $1250 range will have a certain amplitude, but not to the rising period of the past two months, although investors start focusing on gold, but the market still has a lot of order, to put pressure on the rise, if exceeded $1200, sharply down, down 50 or 100 dollars. It is the perfect time for the." He said, and estimated the fastest in the second quarter of this year and the third season between the relevant adjustments. At the same time, he revealed that gold retailers, including Hongkong, mainland China and India, had increased demand for gold during the Spring Festival, but compared with the same period last year, the volume of imports has decreased by about 10% to 15

金价新高或临调整压力 抄底时机暂未成熟   特约记者 朱丽娜 香港报道   沉寂已久的黄金终于扬眉吐气了。   进入2016年,全球市场风雨飘摇,各地股市集体跳水、债市收益率跌至历史新低,投资者们纷纷逃向避险天堂,黄金一枝独秀,现货金价已录得近15%的惊人涨幅,而全球最大的上市交易黃金基金SPDR Gold Shares ETF 亦飙升了近17%。   截至去年年底,国际黄金期货价格连续第六个季度走低,持续时间为1984年以来最长。现货黄金价格则于去年12月一度跌至1050美元 盎司的低谷,但近日却升势凌厉。2月11日,现货金价盘中升至1263.48美元 盎司的一年新高,并创下2008年金融危机以来的最大单日涨幅。在农历春节期间的短短一周内,黄金的升幅高达近90美元。   “此次黄金价格飙升的原因包括美元疲软,避险资产需求激增以及对利率继续下降的预期。同时,最新的世界黄金协会报告显示新兴市场的消费者和央行在去年第四季度仍在积极买入黄金。”伦敦Capital Economics大宗商品研究主管Julian Jessop向21世纪经济报道记者表示。   他续称,虽然黄金已经突破了我们此前预测的1250美元的年中高位,但我们却并不计划调高金价预测。短期来看,随着对全球经济增长前景以及美联储加息担忧的消退,股票市场出现反弹,黄金价格仍然面临一定的调整压力。   入市时机未到   对于很多投资者而言,目前的金融市场波动性急剧增加,迫切需要配置黄金这类避险资产。摆在他们面前的问题是,黄金是否已经彻底摆脱了低谷,适合入市抄底?   香港金银业贸易场永远名誉会长张德熙表示,尽管金价近期升幅明显,但黄金尚未进入上升周期,投资者需耐心等待入市时机。   截至2月15日发稿时,国际现货黄金价格下跌2.3%或28.48美元至1209.49美元 盎司,已经是连续第二日录得跌幅。   “黄金价格在1100美元至1250美元区间会有一定波幅,但未到上升周期,过去两个月虽然投资者重新开始关注黄金,但市场上仍有不少沽盘,将对上涨构成压力,如果突破1200美元后,出现急速向下,下跌50或100美元,则是绝佳的入市时机。”他表示,并估计最快在今年第二季、第三季间出现相关调整。   同时,他透露,包括香港、中国内地及印度等黄金零售商,春节期间对黄金需求有所增加,但相比去年同期,入货量已减少约10%至15%,实际销量更减少约20%,“有一些低价补仓的买盘出现,但却未出现抢金潮。”   丹麦盛宝银行首席大宗商品交易策略师Ole Hansen则表示,自去年12月美联储加息以来,黄金一度承压,但由于其他资产类别的表现大幅落后预期,导致一些结构投资者已纷纷倒戈转向黄金,这为近期黄金价格大涨早已埋下了伏笔。   根据彭博统计的数据显示,截至2月3日,流入黄金ETF的资金已达18亿美元,其中14亿美元流入全球最大的上市交易黄金基金 SPDR Gold Shares ETF。   汇丰银行首席贵金属分析师James Steel在报告中预测,经过自2013年以来连续三年的净流出,黄金ETF将由去年净卖出110吨逆转为今年净买入40吨左右,并预测2016年全年平均金价约1205美元 盎司。   此外,以对冲基金为首的机构投资者已大幅削减空头,并连续五周增加黄金多头持仓,并已由12月中的历史高位的净空头仓位逆转为净多头。根据美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)周五(2月12日)公布的周度报告显示,截至2月9日当周,COMEX黄金投机净多头头寸增加37291手至72912手,创下自三个多月来的最高水平。   投资者或获利了结   一直以来,来自中国和印度的实物黄金买盘是支撑金价的重要支撑。   根据世界黄金协会(WGC)2月11日发布的年度《黄金需求趋势报告》显示,去年全球黄金需求达到4212.2吨,与2014年基本持平。其中,第四季黄金需求同比增加4%至1117.7吨,主要受各国央行持续购金,以及中国和印度下半年强劲市场需求带动。   报告指出,中国第四季度黄金投资需求同比激增25%至48吨,全年投资需求则同比上升21%至210吨,主要由于人民币兑美元大幅贬值后,消费者购买黄金寻求财富保值。但世界黄金协会表示,中国股市波动及经济增长放缓打击消费者信心,中国金饰需求则同比下滑3%。   同时,由于各个资产类别在市场震荡中表现乏善可陈,全球各大央行们在去年共增加了588.4吨的黄金储备,与前一年583.9吨的水平相若。   随着去年下半年金融市场频现过山车行情,各国央行在下半年共买入了336.2吨黄金,而上半年则购入252.1吨黄金。   其中,官方数据显示,截至2015年11月底,中国央行的黄金储备为5605万盎司,约1743吨,比10月底增加67万盎司,约21吨。过去六年期间,中国央行共增持了约600吨黄金。   此外,阿联酋国民银行全球资产管理主管Claude-Henri Chavanon坦言:“上一周黄金价格表现抢眼,但目前看来金价在1250-1256美元区间面对一定阻力,暂时缺乏继续上涨的动力。”   “我们建议客户在投资组合中增持黄金以对冲风险,如果金融市场震荡加剧,金价会进一步上涨。未来几周金价可能上探1260美元甚至1300美元,但如果出现一些获利了结,我也不会感到意外。”某外资银行大宗商品分析师向21世纪经济报道记者表示。 进入【新浪财经股吧】讨论相关的主题文章: